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WEC
ACCE-researched

WEC Energy Group Inc. Common Stock (WEC) fair value

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric · NYSE · United States
$111.09-0.95%
Market cap $36.5BNext earnings 2026-10-29Updated Oct 21, 2026
Add earnings to calendarGoogle
Our verdict
Trades 8% above our fair value
Price
$111.09
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$103
Only one of our models could value this stock with confidence, so use it as a guide.
Not used by alerts or posts.
Valued as a utility: Dividend discount, P/E comparison, and EV/EBITDA comparison.
ACCE opinionWEC Energy Group Inc. Common Stock (WEC)
Fair value (3 models)
Not available
ACCE price target
$108
Rating
Not rated
Horizon
12 months
ACCE price target published on 21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CEST.
Price used: $111 at the close on 23 Oct 2026, 22:00 CEST.
Models: Dividend discount, EV/EBITDA comparison, and P/E comparison.
Fair value: the average of the applicable valuation models (discounted cash flow, multiples, residual income, dividend discount, shareholder yield), each run on the latest financial statements and the market price shown. Opinion columns (fair value, target, rating) are shown apart from the data. Full methodology: acceinvestments.com/data/how-we-value-stocks
Full methodology
Conflicts of interest: The author holds no personal position in this security. General statement
Produced by ACCE Investments (acceinvestments.com)
Data
ACCE score
51
out of 100
Analysts
42% buy
19 covering
P/E
21.1x
forward 16.9x
1-year return
-4.2%
Dividend yield
3.40%

WEC Energy Group Inc. Common Stock in four questions

Plain answers, details below
Free accounts get 5 full stock pages a month, including the four answers.
OverviewAsk ACCEValuationQualityAnalystsSmart MoneyCompareNews and Record

Overview

ACCE thesis

WEC Energy Group is a Milwaukee-based regulated utility whose main subsidiaries, We Energies and Wisconsin Public Service, deliver electricity and natural gas to roughly 1.2 million customers in Wisconsin, with a growing transmission and renewables build-out. Its advantage is the regulated rate base: returns are set by state commissions on invested capital, which gives predictable earnings and a clear path to grow them as capital spending expands. The near-term driver is that capital program, which management has been funding through equity and asset sales while adding wind, solar and battery capacity to replace coal. Revenue growth of 2.6% is modest, and a 12.0% ROE with a 21.8% operating margin is typical of the group rather than exceptional, so the case rests on rate base growth and a forward P/E of 17.5 against a trailing 20.4 that implies earnings expansion. The composite score of 47/100 and absence from any major index argue for treating this as a defensive utility to verify on regulatory outcomes and balance sheet capacity before any further work.

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 13, 2026
⚠ Investor warnings · 4 flagsAI-assisted·How I use AI
  • high
    Negative free cash flow
    FCF of -$2.4B signals capital intensity or cash deployment outpacing operations. Unsustainable for dividend-paying utility without clarification.
  • high
    Score collapse and quality decline
    ACCE score fell 10 points to 47/100 in 90 days. Quality subscore at 60 and Momentum at 31 suggest deteriorating fundamentals or sentiment.
  • moderate
    Elevated leverage
    Debt/Equity of 1.58 is high for a regulated utility. Combined with negative FCF, refinancing risk warrants monitoring.
  • moderate
    Insider selling concentration
    Last 10 disclosures show $5.37M in sales, zero buys. Absence of insider conviction during score decline is a caution flag.

AI research notes

AI-assisted·How I use AIWritten Oct 11, 2026 · figures from 2026-06-30 · prices to Oct 23, 2026
Why it could do well
  • Recent earnings beat by 13.7% suggests management is executing well and may have room to raise guidance.
  • Net margin of 16.7% and ROE of 12.0% show the utility is profitable and generating reasonable returns on shareholder capital.
Why it could disappoint
  • Negative free cash flow of -$2.4B over the last 12 months forces the company to issue equity and debt to fund operations and capex.
  • Share count grew 3.6% last fiscal year while the reverse DCF implies only 2.9% annual cash flow growth, meaning dilution outpaces earnings growth.
  • Debt to equity of 1.58 is already elevated, and heavy capex tied to data center demand creates risk if customer contracts don't materialize as assumed.
Each chip shows the exact figure and where it comes from. A claim without a source is not published.

Next results

Oct 29, 2026
We update the fair value about 2 days after the results, once the new figures are filed.Add to calendarGoogle

Walk me through this stock

Plain-English pros, cons, and what to watch. Pro feature.

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Valuation

INVESTOR
Where WEC's valuation models land
Price
$111.09
Model fair valueConfidence: medium
$103
Model
Fair value
Upside
Dividend discount
EV/EBITDA comparison
P/E comparison
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Quality

INVESTOR
Quality and conviction INVESTOR FEATURE

The full quality picture: a reason under every score, how the scores moved, and the conviction breakdown.

  • +A plain reason under every score
  • +Conviction breakdown and growth / value / quality / momentum scores
  • +Score history: how each score moved over time

Analysts

Wall Street consensus

Mixed42% buy · 19 covering analysts
● Strong buy 6● Buy 2● Hold 10● Sell 0● Strong sell 1
Analyst intelligence INVESTOR FEATURE

The full analyst picture: the price-target distribution against the current price, forward consensus estimates, and how ACCE's own models compare.

  • +Price-target low / average / high vs the current price, with implied upside
  • +Forward revenue and EPS consensus by fiscal year
  • +ACCE fair-value models lined up against the Street

Smart Money

PRO

In one line

Trades are only made public after a delay. We show the delay so you know how old the news is.

Company insiders
No trades filed
Last 90 days
Congress
No trades filed
Last 180 days
Average delay
No trades filed
From trade to public filing
Do politicians beat the market? Our backtest →
Smart money tracking PRO FEATURE

Follow the informed money: 13F position changes, insider and Congress trades, and 13D activist filings.

  • +Quarter-over-quarter institutional position changes
  • +Every insider and Congress trade, with how late it was disclosed
  • +Active 13D activist filings and top holders

Compare

Where it sits vs peers

News and Record

Press releases mentioning this company

Recent performance

1 week
+2.2%
1 month
+9.8%
3 months
-4.0%
6 months
-3.1%
YTD
+5.3%
1 year
-4.2%

SEC filings

Recent ACCE blog coverage

  • $WEC Posts 7.9% EPS Growth in Quarter Reported May 5, 2026
    WEC Energy Group reported EPS of $2.45 vs $2.27 a year ago, a 7.9% gain. Revenue grew 9.0% YoY. ACCE score sits at 57/100. Full breakdown inside.
    2026-07-29

Recommendation history, last 12 months

DateTypeNewPreviousPrice
8 Oct 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$72.82$71.89$103
29 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$71.89$73.01$101
26 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$73.01$73.89$101
22 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$73.89$74.73$103
21 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTACCE price target$108first publication$103
17 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$74.73$76.09$104
1 Sept 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$76.09$75.19$106
29 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$75.19$74.36$107
24 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$74.36$75.61$107
21 Aug 2026, 00:00 CESTFair value$75.61$92.47$111

This analysis is not personalised investment advice and does not take your situation, objectives or risk tolerance into account. ACCE Investments is not an authorised investment firm.

Investing in shares carries a risk of losing capital. The value of an investment can go down as well as up.

Valuation horizon: 12 months from the publication date.

Conflicts of interest. ACCE Investments is operated by Adrien Chantreuil, who may hold personal positions in the securities analysed. Positions are declared on each security. ACCE receives no payment from the companies analysed or from any intermediary for this analysis.

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Snapshot

Growth47Value49Quality60Momentum49Total51
Valuation
Trailing P/E
21.1x
Forward P/E
16.9x
PEG
1.07
P/B
2.33x
EV / Revenue
5.5x
Book value/sh
$43.38
Enterprise value
$55.9B
Profitability
ROE
12.0%
FCF yield
-2.79%
ROIC
3.6%
Health and risk
Debt / equity
1.64
Dividend yield
3.40%
Beta
0.44

Price

-4.1% · 1Y

Ask anything about WEC

Answered from WEC Energy Group Inc. Common Stock fundamentals + recent valuations. Every number shows its source and date.

This stock Peer Peer median weaker → stronger
P/Ebetter than 17% of peers
low 9.4x21.1xhigh 23.5x
ROEbetter than 83% of peers
low 7%12%high 14%
Div yieldbetter than 67% of peers
low 1.5%3.4%high 4.5%

Peers

Prices Oct 23, 2026
CompanyPriceFair valuevs fair valueP/EROEQualityScore
WEC WEC Energy Group Inc. Common Stock$111.09--21.1x12.0%6051
PEG Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated Common Stock$72.02$5335% above17.7x11.8%6141
PCG Pacific Gas & Electric Co. Common Stock$12.63--9.4x9.3%5350
ED Consolidated Edison Inc. Common Stock$115.74$1141% above18.4x9.0%6564
NTPC.NS NTPC Limited₹298.00₹35315% below10.4x13.7%7053
AEE Ameren Corporation Common Stock$108.04$9612% above18.8x11.9%6952
FTS Fortis Inc. Common Shares$57.95--23.5x7.5%6956

Sector report card

Where WEC ranks against its sector peers on each metric.

Computing percentiles…
  • PR Newswire•Aug 10, 2026
    WEC Energy Group's 2025 Corporate Responsibility Report highlights reliability, sustainability and long-term value
  • PR Newswire•Jul 22, 2026
    WEC Energy Group to announce 2026 second-quarter results July 29
  • PR Newswire•Jul 16, 2026
    Wisconsin Electric declares quarterly dividends
2 more press releases · full archive on Investor+.INVESTOR
40 filings
October 2026
Oct 9
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-07
View on SEC →
Oct 9
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-07
View on SEC →
Oct 9
Form 4Insider transactionPeriod 2026-10-07
View on SEC →
37 more filings + AI summaries on Investor+.INVESTOR